Saturday Hanna Update
[Update 6 PM. Yep, that's sunshine. Those are shadows, people are out walking, kids on bikes, traffic is back to normal. There's still a breeze and you can hear the wind howling in the tall trees, but it looks like things are back to normal. Hope your electricity stayed on and your trees stayed upright.]
[Update 4:30 Saturday. Here in Rockville it's pretty quiet. I just walked the dog and there is a little drizzle but you can't tell if it's blowing off the trees or raining. I'm across the street from some woods along Rock Creek, and I see the tops of the bigger trees are still whipping around pretty violently, but generally the storm seems to be dying down. We might even get a sunbeam soon if things keep going like this.]
[Update 3:00 PM Saturday. Man, it's raining pretty good out there now, just a minute ago it wasn't so bad. We haven't seen any really strong gusts of wind but I see debris lying on the ground here and there. Mainly it is just a whole lot of water coming from the sky.
Looking at the RADAR LOOP, I'd say we're at the tail end of this.
NOAA is saying now that this ought to clear up suddenly around five o'clock. They say some places have gotten ten inches of rain.
The Post says:At 2 p.m., the center of Hanna was just northeast of Williamsburg, Va., and moving northeast near 25 mph. We still expect the rain to come to an end in the metro area, from west to east, between 4 and 7 p.m.
The heaviest rains continue to fall west of I-95, where flash flood warnings (shown on map below, linked to above) reamain in effect. Numerous road closures have been reported, especially in Stafford and Culpeper counties, but also closer to the Beltway such as at Beach Drive and Sligo Creek Pkwy in Silver Spring, Georgetown Pike at Old Dominion Dr in Great Falls, Va., and Rock Creek Pkwy in the District. It's a good idea to stay off the roads if you can for the next couple hours at least. Rainfall totals have generally been 2-5", with some locations recording as much as 6-7" and isolated reports of 10".
Post bloggers say:At 2 p.m., the center of Hanna was just northeast of Williamsburg, and moving northeast near 25 mph. We still expect the rain to come to an end in the metro area, from west to east, between 4 p.m. and 7 p.m.
So -- another hour or two or three of wind and rain, it sounds like. Looks like Hanna is making a mess but not too bad, some people have lost power, some cars are stuck in intersections, let's hope this is as bad as it gets.]
[Update: 11:30 It sounds like Hanna might be moving faster than expected, and NOAA's warning seem less frightening than earlier ones. From their 9:27 report:
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA WILL PASSING ABOUT 85 MILES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF WASHINGTON DC AT 4 PM TODAY. HOWEVER...HANNA IS A LARGE STORM AND EFFECTS WILL BE FELT WELL INLAND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES.
...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING AND LASTING INTO MID AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR...WITH SOUTHERN MARYLAND HAVING THE HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD OF STRONGEST WINDS. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY CAUSE TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL AND CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR BALTIMORE MD...
THERE IS A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF WINDS OR GREATER.
FOR ANNAPOLIS MD...
THERE IS A 17 PERCENT CHANCE OF WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR WASHINGTON DC...
THERE IS A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO FALL THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGH THE DAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED TOTALS UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.]
I will update the reports during the day as Tropical Storm Hanna moves through our area.
I looked out this morning and saw people walking down the street without umbrellas, not what I'd expected. Ah, I see, if you look at THE RADAR you see we're in a little gap between the bands right now.
Actually, that's a cool radar link, you can watch the storm roll up from the Caribbean, over Florida and up the coast. It looks to me like it has gotten bigger.
NOAA's report has gotten too long to post here. I'll paste some excerpts.
AT 500 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 150 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA...OR ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH OF WASHINGTON DC.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING... AND ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HANNA IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BY LATE ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
...
...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATER THIS MORNING AND LASTING INTO THE EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR...WITH SOUTHERN MARYLAND HAVING THE HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD OF STRONGEST WINDS. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY CAUSE TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL AND CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.
...
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR BALTIMORE MD...
THERE IS AROUND A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR
ANNAPOLIS MD...
THERE IS AROUND A 25 PERCENT CHANCE OF WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER.
FOR WASHINGTON
DC...
THERE IS AROUND A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER.
...
RAIN HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO FALL THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGH THE DAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN THE SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR...WITH 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 95. IN AREAS THAT REPEATEDLY EXPERIENCE HEAVY RAIN BANDS...UP TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN MAY OCCUR.
TROPICAL STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. WHILE IT HAS BEEN DRY DURING THE PAST MONTH IT WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS IN THE REGION TO RISE ABOVE BANKFULL VERY QUICKLY...CREATING A FLASH FLOOD AND A POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. REPORT FLASH FLOODING IMMEDIATELY TO LAW ENFORCEMENT. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR FLOODING ON ROADWAYS ON SATURDAY.
...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR TODAY. TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL SYSTEMS MOST OFTEN OCCUR IN THUNDERSTORMS EMBEDDED IN RAIN BANDS WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER AND ARE NOT ACCOMPANIED BY HAIL OR A LOT OF LIGHTNING.
posted by JimK at 7:24 AM
13 Comments:
"Gallup shows the race as a 48-44% Obama lead, down from a nine-point Obama advantage on Aug. 29th, the day after his acceptance speech. That was Sen. Obama's biggest lead since Aug. 15th and came on the same day that Sen. McCain announced Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his running mate. On Thursday, Rasmussen showed the race as a two point Obama lead, 48-46%. Both polls have very large sample sizes, 2800 and 3000 respectively, and measure public opinion over three days, averaging the result. Gallup measures registered voters while Rasmussen measures likely voters.
The news for the McCain campaign is likely to get better. Both results only include one day in in which voters would have seen Gov. Palin's vice-presidential acceptance speech. With the enthusiastic response to her address, and the fact that Palin is now more popular than either presidential candidate, according to a recent Rasmussen poll, the daily tracking numbers should close even further as the weekend progresses. By Monday, all three days in the rolling average of each poll will include post-Palin speech sampling. That result is likely to show an even race or perhaps a small McCain lead."
OK, so a rolling average of polls of LIKELY voters from Tuesday to Thursday, shows Obama's lead cut to two.
This includes only one of the days after the Palin speech, which has been hailed from coast to coast and was watched by more people than saw the opening ceremony of the Olympics.
By any conventional model, come Monday, when the polls which average Thursday through Saturday are released, McCain should be leading.
And let's repeat this part for Prya, who so misunderstands the great nation to the South:
"Palin is now more popular than either presidential candidate, according to a recent Rasmussen poll,"
So, where's that backfire you've been talking about, Prya?
"NEW YORK (AP) - As a television draw, John McCain was every bit the equal of Barack Obama.
The GOP presidential candidate attracted roughly the same number of viewers to his convention acceptance speech Thursday as Obama did before the Democrats last week, according to Nielsen Media Research.
It marked the end of an astonishing run where more than 40 million people watched political speeches on three nights by Obama, McCain and Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin. The Republican convention was the most-watched convention on television ever, beating a standard set by the Democrats a week earlier.
Three times in two weeks, political speeches were watched by more people than the "American Idol" finale, the Academy Awards and the opening ceremony of the Beijing Olympics this year.
"It clearly suggests that a great number of Americans think that who will be the next president is important and worthy of their time," said Tom Rosenstiel, a former political reporter and director of the Project for Excellence in journalism.
This week's ratings, with an average of 34.5 million viewers watching the GOP convention over three days, proved people are becoming more interested in what the Republicans have to say. The Democrats had an average audience of 30.2 million over four days, Nielsen said.
"No one really thought they had it in them in terms of pulling off this amazing convention," said Jay Wallace, vice president for news and editorial at Fox News Channel. But Hurricane Gustav pulled people into the news networks over the weekend, he said. People were also intensely curious about McCain's pick of Palin as a running mate, he said.
Nielsen said that 38.9 million people watched McCain accept the GOP nomination Thursday on either ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, Fox News Channel or MSNBC. PBS, which has a more imprecise estimate based on samples in a few big cities, said 3.5 million watched on its network.
Last week, Obama's speech in Denver was seen by 38.4 million on 10 different commercial networks, and an additional 4 million on PBS.
Add it up, and that's McCain, 42.4 million, to Obama, 42.4 million.
No one can really tell who truly had the biggest audience, since C-SPAN also showed the speeches, and Nielsen doesn't measure the cable channel's viewers. But if the presidential vote is this close on Nov. 4, it will be a long night."
Actually, not really. The electoral map favors McCain and the South, with Ohio and Pennsylvania thrown in, should basically wrap it up early. We'll all go to bed happy long before the West Coast reports their numbers.
Looks like Oprah is worried about her candidate. And maybe that she is not the most popular woman in America anymore:
"BIG DILEMMA: OPRAH BALKS AT HOSTING SARAH PALIN; STAFF DIVIDED
Fri Sep 05 2008 08:55:46 ET
Oprah Winfrey may have introduced Democrat Barack Obama to the women of America -- but the talkshow queen is not rushing to embrace the first woman on a Republican presidential ticket!
Oprah's staff is sharply divided on the merits of booking Sarah Palin, sources tell the DRUDGE REPORT.
"Half of her staff really wants Sarah Palin on," an insider explains. "Oprah's website is getting tons of requests to put her on, but Oprah and a couple of her top people are adamantly against it because of Obama."
One executive close to Winfrey is warning any Palin ban could ignite a dramatic backlash!
It is not clear if Oprah has softened her position after watching Palin's historic convention speech.
Last year, Winfrey blocked an appearance by Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas, timed to a promotional tour of his autobiography.
Oprah and executive producer Sheri Salata, who has contributed thousands of dollars to Obama's campaign, refused requests for comment."
Gallup shows the race as a 48-44% Obama lead, down from a nine-point Obama advantage on Aug. 29th, the day after his acceptance speech.
Two key words for you to focus on Anon: Obama lead.
So I see you liked some of the stuff in today's Washington Post, but yesterday's Charles Krauthhammer's column seems to have escaped your focus.
I found these thoughts quite reasonable, for a change.
Palin's Problem
By Charles Krauthammer
Friday, September 5, 2008; A21
... the choice of Palin remains deeply problematic.
It's clear that McCain picked her because he had decided that he needed a game-changer. But why? He'd closed the gap in the polls with Obama. True, that had more to do with Obama sagging than McCain gaining. But what's the difference? You win either way.
...McCain's strategy: Make this a referendum on Obama.
...Palin fatally undermines this entire line of attack. This is through no fault of her own. It is simply a function of her rookie status. The vice president's only constitutional duty of any significance is to become president at a moment's notice. Palin is not ready. Nor is Obama. But with Palin, the case against Obama evaporates.
So why did McCain do it? He figured it's a Democratic year. The Republican brand is deeply tarnished. The opposition is running on "change" in a change election. So McCain gambled that he could steal the change issue for himself -- a crazy brave, characteristically reckless, inconceivably difficult maneuver -- by picking an authentically independent, tough-minded reformer. With Palin, he doubles down on change.
The problem is the inherent oddity of the incumbent party running on change. Here were Republicans -- the party that controlled the White House for eight years and both houses of Congress for five -- wildly cheering the promise to take on Washington. I don't mean to be impolite, but who's controlled Washington this decade?
Moreover, McCain was giving up his home turf of readiness to challenge Obama on his home turf of change. Can that possibly be pulled off? The calculation was to choose demographics over thematics. Palin's selection negates the theme of readiness.
...The gamble is enormous. In a stroke, McCain gratuitously forfeited his most powerful argument against Obama. And this was even before Palin's inevitable liabilities began to pile up -- inevitable because any previously unvetted neophyte has "issues." The kid. The state trooper investigation. And worst, the paucity of any Palin record or expressed conviction on the major issues of our time.
LOL, anonymous you are a laugh riot. I love when you brag about how Obama's leading as though that were a good thing for Mccain. Psst, newsflash - it isn't.
And anonymous, as to your cocksure prediction that "By any conventional model, come Monday, when the polls which average Thursday through Saturday are released, McCain should be leading." - Yeah, that'll happen just like you predicted the Republicans were going to clean up in the 2006 elections, Huckabee was going to be president, Huckabee was going to be Mccain's running mate, condoleeza rice was going to be Mccain's running mate, Colin Powel was going to be Mccains running mate, and there would be a conspiracy to make Huckabee president with Mccain in on it.
"Gallup shows the race as a 48-44% Obama lead, down from a nine-point Obama advantage on Aug. 29th, the day after his acceptance speech."
It's shrinking every day as we get the convention factored into the three day total.
The next Gallup is now up. Obama's lead dropped from four yesterday to two today. Expect the next update, in which all three days will be post-Palin speech, to show a McCain lead.
Bea and Preya,
You're acting like I'm making a big deal when McCain is still trailing but remember what the inane point was that Preya was originally making: that the Palin selection had backfired.
Clearly, it didn't.
Another surprise for Preya: we don't elect by popular vote.
The swing states are Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virginia Florida. Whoever gets 3 of 5 wins.
Check out today's WSJ to read about how much trouble Obama is in up in Michigan.
real clear politics (I love this site) has averages of all the polls. it's not a 4 point lead anymore, its 2.5. And it will be updated again at 9:30 tomorrow (or maybe not on a Sunday...)
www.realclearpolitics.com
RCP Average 08/29 - 09/05 -- 46.6 44.2 Obama +2.4
Gallup Tracking 09/03 - 09/05 2765 RV 47 45 Obama +2
Rasmussen Tracking 09/03 - 09/05 3000 LV 49 46 Obama +3
Hotline/FD Tracking 09/02 - 09/04 916 RV 46 40 Obama +6
CBS News 09/01 - 09/03 734 RV 42 42 Tie
CNN 08/29 - 08/31 927 RV 49 48
Obama +1
the graph is especially interesting.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html
Palin Power :-)
Krauthammer, usually insightful, may have been a victim of identity theft last week.
"Palin is not ready. Nor is Obama. But with Palin, the case against Obama evaporates."
Not at all. It intensifies.
You notice Obama himself has not been bringing this up.
He knows he loses if this gets talked about.
Palin has more experience and, even if you disagree, remember:
Palin might become President if elected, Obama definitely will.
McCain's ticket gives the best chance of experience in the Presidency- indeed, the only chance.
"The problem is the inherent oddity of the incumbent party running on change. Here were Republicans -- the party that controlled the White House for eight years and both houses of Congress for five -- wildly cheering the promise to take on Washington. I don't mean to be impolite, but who's controlled Washington this decade?"
McCain has bucked his party on many occassions. Only 10%? It was the important 10% that made the difference. He has bravely stuck with his principles time and again.
"any previously unvetted neophyte has "issues." The kid."
America identifies. They love Palin the more for this crisis in her family and how she's handled it.
"The state trooper investigation."
This guy who drove in his police car with an open bottle of beer, tasered an 11-year-old and threatened to kill Palin's father in one heated argument, came out with a statement yesterday that he "regrets" his actions.
"And worst, the paucity of any Palin record or expressed conviction on the major issues of our time."
She opposes abortion, gay marriage, and wasteful spending. She supports the war on terrorism and the effort for energy independence. What are the major issues being missed?
As expected the GOP got a post convention bounce. It has narrowed, but all but one poll shows Obama with a lead. McCain may take the lead in some or all of them in the next few days but the only poll that counts will be taken on Election Day.
In the meantime, here are some interesting news reports.
the Democratic presidential nominee ridiculed John McCain and his running mate, the Alaska governor, for describing themselves as agents of change at this week's GOP convention.
"Don't be fooled," Obama told the crowd surrounding him in a large barn. "John McCain's party, with the help of John McCain, has been in charge" for nearly eight years.
"I know the governor of Alaska has been saying she's change, and that's great," Obama said. "She's a skillful politician. But, you know, when you've been taking all these earmarks when it's convenient, and then suddenly you're the champion anti-earmark person, that's not change. Come on! I mean, words mean something, you can't just make stuff up."
McCain has vowed to wipe out earmarks, which are targeted funding for specific projects that lawmakers put into spending bills. As governor, Palin originally supported earmarks for a controversial $398 million Alaska project dubbed the "bridge to nowhere." But she dropped her support after the state's likely share of the cost rose. She hung onto $27 million to build the approach road to the bridge.
Under Palin's leadership, Alaska this year asked for almost $300 per person in requests for pet projects from one of McCain's top adversaries: indicted Sen. Ted Stevens. That's more than any other state received, per person, from Congress for the current budget year. Other states got just $34 worth of local projects per person this year, on average, according to Citizens Against Government Waste, a Washington-based watchdog group. The state government's earmark requests to Congress in her first year in office exceeded $550 million, more than $800 per resident. Palin actually reduced the state government's requests for special projects this year in the wake of President Bush's demand for a cutback in earmarks.
...McCain has acknowledged voting with President Bush 90 percent of the time in Congress, Obama said.
"And suddenly he's the change agent? Ha. He says, 'I'm going to tell those lobbyists that their days of running Washington are over.' Who is he going to tell? Is he going to tell his campaign chairman, who's one of the biggest corporate lobbyists in Washington? Is he going to tell his campaign manager, who was one of the biggest corporate lobbyists in Washington?"
"I mean, come on, they must think you're stupid," Obama said as the crowd laughed and cheered.
==============
The excitement with which people are turning out to see Palin could complicate a key line of attack that the McCain campaign has been building against Democrat Barack Obama for months.
Republicans have sought to cast Obama's support as nothing more than shallow adoration and hype befitting a movie star. They have mocked his appeal among Hollywood types and compared his star status to that of lightweights like Paris Hilton and Britney Spears. They say there is nothing of substance to back up the candidacy of the Illinois senator.
Palin herself asked in her convention speech what happens "when the stadium lights go out, and those Styrofoam Greek columns are hauled back to some studio lot — what exactly is our opponent's plan?"
Obama has been careful in his comments about her, saying Saturday that she has flip-flopped on spending earmarks, but also calling her a "skillful politician."
While campaigning in New Mexico, which is shaping up to be another competitive state, Palin and McCain staged their own Hollywood-like entrance at a rally.
After a rousing introduction by actor Robert Duvall, McCain and Palin made their entrance by bounding off a "Straight Talk Express" bus that drove straight into the rally's convention hall, underneath a giant America flag that was raised like a curtain.
===============
Since the last federal election in 2006, volunteers like Graham combined with the enthusiasm generated by the Obama-Clinton struggle to add more than 2 million Democrats to voter rolls in the 28 states that register voters according to party affiliation. The Republicans have lost nearly 344,000 thousand voters in the same states.
The Democrats hope their voter registration efforts can boost Obama to victory in competitive states like Pennsylvania, Nevada and Florida and perhaps even give him a shot at winning traditional Republican states like Georgia, North Carolina and Virginia.
Both Obama and his Republican rival, John McCain, are fighting for independent swing voters, and many of the new Democrats had been unaffiliated voters.
The number of unaffiliated voters dropped by nearly 900,000 since 2006. Many joined the Democratic Party to take part in the primaries and caucuses, and now they will now be targeted by an aggressive get-out-the-vote campaign.
"We feel that our supporters are more enthusiastic than we've seen in previous cycles," said Jon Carson, Obama's national field director.
==========
Rick Davis, campaign manager for John McCain's presidential bid, insisted that the presidential race will be decided more over personalities than issues during an interview with Post editors this morning.
"This election is not about issues," said Davis. "This election is about a composite view of what people take away from these candidates."
=============
Yes. That is a real quote. The McCain campaign beleives that while this nation is fighting two wars. That we have a housing crisis where people have mortgages that are larger than the values of the homes they own. When we have a health care crisis and need to move on universal health care. When we have an energy crisis and are facing the ravages of global warming. When we have terrorism to deal with and a resurgent Russia and a strong China and India entering the club of world powers.
Given all this Rick Davis said to the WashPo: "This election is not about issues," said Davis. "This election is about a composite view of what people take away from these candidates."
I'm sorry this post is so short. I've got so much work to do but I saw this and thought Phil Gramm: this needs to go in an ad because it's exactly WHY Gov. Palin was chosen and why John McCain has no plans to guide this country forward.
“She opposes abortion, gay marriage, and wasteful spending. She supports the war on terrorism and the effort for energy independence. What are the major issues being missed?”
The intelligence of her constituents.
.
"Come on! I mean, words mean something, you can't just make stuff up."
That from the ultimate flip flopper...
RCP national average this morning show obama + 1.8, so I guess they do update it on Sundays...
Also, on McCain voting 90% with Bush, dick morris said the other night that the entire congress votes together most of the time, because the vast majority of the bills are commendations, etc...
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