Tuesday, October 14, 2008

This Will Be One Happy, Well-Adjusted Little Girl

This seems to come from somewhere in Tennessee:
A new father has secretly named his baby girl Sarah McCain Palin after the Republican ticket for president and vice president.

Mark Ciptak of Elizabethton put that name on the documents for the girl's birth certificate, ignoring the name Ava Grace, which he and his wife had picked earlier.

"I don't think she believes me yet," he told the Kingsport Times-News for a story to be published Tuesday. "It's going to take some more convincing."

Ciptak, a blood bank employee for the American Red Cross, said he named his third child after John McCain and Sarah Palin to "to get the word out" about the campaign.

"I took one for the cause," he said. "I can't give a lot of financial support for the (McCain/Palin) campaign. I do have a sign up in my yard, but I can do very little." Baby named Sarah McCain Palin

I wish the reporters had interviewed the mother, I'll bet she had a few choice words to say on the matter. Ava Grace to Sarah McCain Palin, that's a significant switcheroo, there, Dad, hope you like it in the doghouse for a long, long time.

Well, it is possible that in a few years these names won't quite ring a bell.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

I know exaclt what her parents will say when she asks, "Where does my middle name come from?"

"Well, it's Greek for, 'loser'".

At that point, they will legally change it!

October 14, 2008 9:38 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I've followed anonymous' method of referring to the third derivative in demonstrating that McCain is in fact winning, and came up with the following results:

Rate at which the rate at which Obama's lead is increasing: 0.1%

Rate at which Obama's lead is increasing: 2%

Obama's current percent of voters: 54%

Number of days until the election:

Obama's percent of voters=

54 + 100*13*(1-(1-.001)EXP3)/3 + 100*13*(1-(1-.02)EXP2/2

= 98.2%


October 15, 2008 9:12 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Reuters/Zogby Obama +4

LA Times Obama +9

Rasmussen Obama +5

Hotline/FD Obama +6

Gallup Tracking Obama +6

IBD/TIPP Obama +3

USA Today/Gallup Obama +4"

These are the polls for the last two days without the obvious outliers and the controversial "expanded" Gallup polls.

average lead for Obama: around 5%

Today's metaphor for the Obama candidacy:

an anchor dropped in the Marrianas Trench

October 15, 2008 9:56 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

the big outlier poll, GW Batlleground has recanted the 13 point lead it gave obama yesterday and has dropped him 5 points in one day to an 8 point lead

that's the problem with outliers

they make Preya look stupid

October 15, 2008 10:39 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

AnonBigots- (Yes, that is plural).

Are you ready to see your McShame get his stupidity and indirection handed to him on a silver platter yet AGAIN tonight?

I am!

I am!

I am!

I am!

October 15, 2008 11:27 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

the thing is, Derrick, I do admit Obama appears more Presidential but we're in a serious situation in this country

people need to wake up and give at least some attention to substance

a return in the direction of socialism will sink this country's future

McCain needs to make this case

if he doesn't he will lose but Republicans will be the long-term winners because Dems will be in control of both Congress and the White House and won't be able to divert blame as they have in their current financial crisis

Obama is another Jimmy Carter- humorless and intelligent

from this side of history, it's hard to remember what Carter seemed like when he beat the unpopular Jerry Ford

his image was remarkably similar to Obama's

if he wins, he'll last one term

October 15, 2008 12:04 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Make-Believe Maverick
A closer look at the life and career of John McCain reveals a disturbing record of recklessness and dishonesty

October 15, 2008 12:13 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Falling behind in the polls, Republican candidate John McCain hopes to shake up the presidential race tonight in his final debate with Democrat Barack Obama, who will be looking to close the deal with voters unhappy with the country's direction.

With the economic crisis fueling public unease, Obama has built leads nationally and in key states as the turmoil has returned the nation's focus to the policies of the unpopular President Bush. The burden now is on McCain to try to reverse his slide.

To that end, the Arizona senator took another new approach this week, positioning himself as a fighter for the American middle class and easing off his most direct attacks on Obama, an Illinois senator. McCain also took pains to separate himself from Bush.

"We cannot spend the next four years as we have spent much of the last eight: waiting for our luck to change. ... As president I intend to act, quickly and decisively," McCain said Tuesday in battleground Pennsylvania, where he trails Obama by double digits.

October 15, 2008 12:19 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Good point here. If McCain wants to win, he has to criticize the Bush administration and articulate how his would be different.

October 15, 2008 12:57 PM  
Blogger Priya Lynn said...

Bad Anonymous said "the big outlier poll, GW Batlleground has recanted the 13 point lead it gave obama yesterday and has dropped him 5 points in one day to an 8 point lead".

LOL, they may have recanted but the prestigous CBS news/NYTimes poll has confirmed that result showing a +14% lead for Obama. This is yet another in a long series of polls to confirm a double digit lead for Obama.

Bad Anonymous said "These are the polls for the last two days without the obvious outliers".

Translated bad anonymous: "These are the polls without the high results I don't like".

By the same token here are the polls without the obvious low outliers:

Hotline FD Obama +8
Gallup Tracking Obama +8
GW/Battleground Obama +8
LA Times Bloomberg Obama +8
CBS/NYtimes Obama +14
Ipsos/Mcclatchy Obama +9

Average lead for Obama 9.1%.

Mcain/Palin 2008 - Unstable/Unable

Obama 2008 One wife
One house
One nation

October 15, 2008 2:07 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"they may have recanted but the prestigous CBS news/NYTimes poll has confirmed that result showing a +14% lead for Obama"

Preya, you clown.


CBS and New York Times are not in the polling business. They are news organizations which have displayed considerable biased in favor of Obama.

When they produce an outlier that contradicts true pollsters, one should recognize they are not experts.

October 15, 2008 2:26 PM  
Blogger Priya Lynn said...

This comment has been removed by the author.

October 15, 2008 2:43 PM  
Blogger Priya Lynn said...

Calm down bad anonymous, I had to wipe your rage induced spit off your post before I could read it and that was pretty gross. I know reality upsets you but you have to start accepting it - The RCP average shows Obama leading by 7.3% virtually unchanged in the past couple of weeks. Obama is going to win and win big.

You keep letting your rage get out of control like this your going to die young

October 15, 2008 2:51 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

yeah, I'm really enraged

funny, though, there's no spit over here and the laws of physics would lead me to believe that if there is slober on your keyboard, it's yours

you sure you weren't looking at pictures of Boy George or something?

I know your knowledge is not as sophisticated as Americans so I'll give you some help:

you're using an average with many deficiencies:

It includes outliers from news organizations that aren't experts in polling

It includes "expanded" polling that has never been used before to try to figure out how many of ACORN's newly registered "voters" will show up

It includes polls that are several days old in a fluid campaign atmosphere

Hope that helps!

October 15, 2008 3:45 PM  
Blogger Priya Lynn said...

Bad anonymous said "It includes outliers from news organizations that aren't experts in polling".

They are not outliers, they are consistent with several other polls showing up to double digit leadswhereas the low poll you included is inconsistent - it is an outlier. You yourself cherry-picked polls such as USA today, typical of you, brag about a poll from a "non-expert" polling firm one day and then claim such polls are invalid the next.

Bad Anonymous said "It includes "expanded" polling that has never been used before".

Gallup says themselves that the expanded poll includes highly motivated voters that are more likely to show up at the polls. That model has generally produced results that closely match the registered voter figures as is the case today, showing Obama up by eight points, 52% to 44% which I allowed you to exclude from the results. Democrats have a huge lead in newly registered voters and a huge lead in voter enthusiasm. This is going to translate into an additional several percent for Obama that does not show up in the traditional LV polls - the expanded LV poll is more accurate than the traditional LV poll, that's why Gallup introduced it.

Bad anonymous said "It includes polls that are several days old in a fluid campaign atmosphere."

Wrong, I included only polls in the past two days in calculating Obama's 9.1% lead(excluding low outliers), just as you referred to polls over the past two days to get your biased cherry-picked average of over 5%.

Based on all polls over the last two days Obama's lead is 7.1% which equates to a drop of just under .1% per day. If that rate of decline were to continue (and it won't) it would take you 72 days to get a Mccain lead and you only have 20 days to go. Get used to president Obama loser.

October 15, 2008 4:18 PM  
Blogger Priya Lynn said...

Republicans demonstrate their "family" values once again:


"A former Republican assemblyman and current parole-board member was busted last night on child-pornography and soliciting charges, officials said.
Chris Ortloff, 61, was arrested in a Plattsburgh-area motel room in a State Police sting at about 5 p.m.

Ortloff, who allegedly had arranged a date on the Internet with an underage victim he thought would provide sex, had child porn and what was described as "sex paraphernalia" in his possession, according to the officials.".

This is the kind of person Mccain wants to put in office.

Ortloff, married with two sons, could not be reached for comment. "He was always the tough-on-crime guy in the Assembly who wanted to increase the criminal penalties for all kinds of sex crimes," said a former associate.

October 15, 2008 5:01 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Andrea- not anon
Couldn't the nut just get a tattoo or something? This guy thought he did something for the campaign so he changed the name he and his wife agreed upon- without telling her. Republican family values- gotta love them.

October 15, 2008 5:40 PM  

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